- As my journey continued with rich information contained in web 2.0 , I am fortunate to discover giants in the field of speculation, trading psychology and derivatives including Victor, Brett, Taleb.
- Where as the beginning trader starts with Technical analysis and Charts , solid foundation may be possible only with CONCEPTS of TRADING.
- TA when understood in terms of concepts like Trend, Momemtum, mean reversion, Low risk entry, classification of tools for ranging and trending markets,Day Structure assesment,Execution in countertrend,Allowing the market to show top or bottom formation, Sticking to timeframe,and understanding the Technical indicator built up rather than mechanical rules will put the developing trader in a formidable position.
- I find much appreciation for the way the material of NSE Technical Analysis program is prepared in the lines of emphasing the concepts of Trading. The flow of the content in TA is very smooth and connected.
Devoted to understanding market mechanics,the market's relentless search for truth and self appraisal with continuous feed back from participants. Appreciating the Camouflage, Deception,Delay, Feedback , Aggression,Decay,Frustation,Tension, and its release, Euphoria,Nurture from the markets
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Concepts of Trading
Short cut to approximating IV,HV
- In delivering NSE program on derivatives , I came across a shortcut to approximating Implied Volatility(IV) and Historical Volatility(HV).
- Normal approach to caluculating HV involves statistical caluculation.
- Devangshu Datta of BS describes a thumb rule approach to estimating HV. It involves calculating the daily HIGH - LOW range as a % of Futures settle price. You can take say, a 20-day moving average of this in order to get a smoother value. This can be used as a proxy for HV.
- For estimating IV, We can take nearest to money call option and nearest to money put option premiums and calculate the breakevens to derive a range. For ex Nifty at 5280, 5300C (premium 100) and 5250 P (128) can be considered. A strangle breaks even outside 5558 -5022. This 536 points can be expressed as a percentage of NIFTY 5300 approx 10% as a estimate of IV.
- Black-Scholes options caluculator gives more precision but a thumbrule approx can be done as above
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Technical Analysis @Manipal Education
- NSE's Technical analysis material supplied to the participants provided unique way of classifying TA
- Students liked the classification of TA tool kit and what tools to apply to Trending, Range-bound markets and transitioning markets from Bull to range-bound and vice versa.
- Audience participation is very good with practicing traders and even top management from some brokerages thrown in.
- I could bring value to the process through my emphasis on trading psychology and risk management mostly adopted from Trader Feed.
- Intraday trading strategies with pivots is one chapter on the TA course.
- I could personally appreciate how the basic concepts of TA can help the beginning trader have a grip on the market perception.
- So many commentaries on Financial Press and TV became evident after going through this process along with my co-learners.
- Much of the philosophy and terminology was effectively internalised by the participants by the end of the workshop as they were freely using the jargon.
- Illustration of many concepts were done using TAME and ShareKhan 's TradeTiger platform.
- TA concepts when viewed in a foundational sense clarified many of my hazy opinion on TA.
Monday, June 21, 2010
NSE - MANIPAL Training Program on DERIVATIVES
- The educational material of NSE is absolutely top class.
- The 14-hour program covered all Market Design, Microstructure and Analysis
- Audience interacted very well with diverse profiles from JPMorgan, Dr Reddy Labs, Stockbroking employees like Kantilal Chaganlal, India Infoline, and Independent traders.
- I could discuss various indicators for derivatives analysis like OI, CoC, PCR, IV by taking reference to DEVANGSHU DATTA's article in BUSINESS STANDARD - Smart Investor JULY 2007
- Interpretation and understanding of Derivatives analysis by Devangshu Datta in Tuesday's BS will be very helpful to investors & traders in interpreting market direction.
- Participants could appreciate the role of market design in taking trading decisions.
Tuesday, June 15, 2010
Simplifying the TRADING Framework
- The need for reference points which act as handles for the trader is emphasised.
- These price handles will make the trader make sense of randomness
- New and developing trader could feel a sense of elation at understanding the complex world of Trading
- When you can write your trading style on the back of your visiting card you can easily explain the approach to traders.
Sunday, June 13, 2010
Understanding Investments
- I would think INVESTMENTS by BKM & Pitabas Mohanty with good indian examples and data will help students of Investments learn the right way.
- Practicing with data from NSE website, Yahoo Finance, BSE website is the way to feel and understand finance theory.
- MBA Course curriculum is enriched in OU & JNTU. BlackSwan Financial Markets School plans to associate with MBA Colleges and B-Schools in Interpreting SAPM, Investments Courses with practical approach and live trading.
- Bridge Course for BCom/BBA students can also be implemented.
Finance Education in Hyderabad
- My deepest regard for Dr KG Ray of VJIM for his emphasis on Empirical Research and grooming students on research methodology.I learnt a lot from him academically even though there are minor differences with style of admin. I can vouch for the superiority of VJIM's PGDM program, its pedagogy, curriculum, student culture and Vibrant atmosphere with top class infrastructure.
- Mr Vishnu Mohan of Firstmove Advisors for his clarity and confidence of his techno-Fundamental approach.
- Damodar Sai for his Intraday and Technical analysis skills.
- Harsha for his expertise in Commodities Trading and advisory.
Saturday, June 12, 2010
Different ways of approaching the Market
- Need to appreciate that there are many ways of approaching the market from different angles
- Market comprises of different risk and time frames. Both long and short may be right when viewed from different time frames
- Market consists of RISK. It is like a raw material made available to the participants.They can manufacture their own risk ( dish)
- Experts trying to tell about their succesful tips but unwilling to discuss methodology and concepts of Trading.
Sunday, April 11, 2010
Trading the Earnings Season & FY 2009-10 Results
- I would like to be ready and prepared for this earnings season
- Infosys results on April 13 before Market opening ( BMO). Early results are expected to be in-line as market is not showing any trembling. Surprises happen in the direction of Trend ?
- Identifying stocks in play (SIP) as per SMB Training
- Proper stock selection provides most of the edge in this season
- Information regarding the exact timing of company announcements of their results is not available to me ?
- How far the announcements are priced in the stock and expectations
- Post earnings announcement drift( PEAD) is some thing traders have to be careful about.
- Interesting post on playing the earnings season
Saturday, April 3, 2010
NCMP Level 4 Modules @ BLACKSWAN
- The modules we are covering are
1 Capital Market (Dealers) Module
2 Commodities Market Module
3 Derivatives Market (Dealers) Module
4 FIMMDA-NSE Debt Market (Basic) Module
5 Financial Markets: A Beginners’ Module
6 Mutual Funds : A Beginners' Module
7 NSDL–Depository Operations Module
8 Options Trading Strategies Module
9 Securities Market (Basic) Module
10 Currency Derivatives: A Beginner’s Module
11 Equity Derivatives: A Beginner's Module
12 Interest Rate Derivatives: A Beginner’s Module
13 Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management
- BlackSwan aims to add value by access to Live Trading facilities, Thorough discussion of concepts, Using standard reference books like
- INVESTMENTS - Bodie, Kane, Marcus, Mohanty
- TRADING & EXCHANGES - Larry Harris
- HANDBOOK Of FIXED INCOME SECURITIES - Fabozzi NCMP can become a gold standard of Financial Market Education BlackSwan has the will and knowledge resources to provide 24- Carat Financial Market & Trading Education to a very large audience.
Friday, April 2, 2010
Benefits of not Trading alone
- Compared to home trading, I am more in control
- It is difficult to go on tilt when your co-traders are observing you
- I am trading more responsibly as I am assuming the role of a mentor as described by Dr Brett in The Daily Trading Coach
- Some distractions relating to admin tasks may arise
- Running a training and also trading operation gives me that emotional satisfaction of sharing ideas and developing clarity of thought
- I hope this will exert positive influence on all the traders I encounter and associate with in this journey
- Doug Tucker on Trading Methods & usefulness of trading groups
- Dr Brett on Networking
Professional Trading Course
- My inspiration for this is derived from SMB training in US and CD integrated in Indian Context.
- BlackSwan would like to provide solid basic foundation for trading in the markets.
- Association with RLP securities will help in providing sufficient Intraday exposure to the active traders
- Components of this course will be in the lines of Active Traders Course
- All ingredients required for stock speculation like Intraday Fundamentals, Chart reading, Risk management, Trading psychology, Understanding macro data, Reacting to news will be dealt.
- A disciplined environment and lessons from How not to run a trading operation will guide this effort.
- Giving best chance to the active trader to succeed is the motto.
Thursday, April 1, 2010
NCMP @ BlackSwan FMB-School
- How BlackSwan can add value to NCFM certifications ?
- I believe it is in detailed explanation and discussion of concepts
- Providing live trading environment for students to observe markets
- Learning about the thinking process of active investors and traders
- Access to standard text books and case studies of International quality
- Team work and seminars information sharing
- Training by NCMP Level 4 Professional - ID 28075
- Training by NSE Certified Trainer
- Access to real time traders
- Highly educated and qualified persons to give lectures
Sunday, March 28, 2010
Financial Market Education in India
- The amount of literature available on Trading, Market structure, Various instruments has exploded.
- Media focus on Markets has also increased phenomenally. Local Channels are also taking to business programming in a big way.
- I would like to highlight some of the education providers I have come across in my research in the process of establishing BlackSwan Financial Markets B-School.
- Finance Certifications : a) Kredent Academy
b) Ideators
c) NISM
d) ITM Financial Markets
e)BLB institute
f) FTKMC
g) Mansukh Institute for Finance
h) Equity Rush
i) APTART
j) Pristine Careers
k) Ace 3 levels
l) IQFI
m) Quantamatics
n) Torux
o) CD integrated
p) Inspire education
q) iicm india
r)iifp india
s) Kunvarji Academy
t) finosys
Saturday, March 27, 2010
Role of Fundamentals in Intraday Trading
- The role of comprehensive view of Market Context. Often beginning traders may be looking at price levels or chart patterns, where as they need to put all this into sectoral context, Traders Behavioral reaction patterns, planning the trade in terms of risk
- It is taking time for me to get reconciled with lack of control when the trader is given a free hand and the limitless environment of trading will make the trader go aggressive at the wrong time.
- As often the Chair admonishes in DailySpec, beginning traders fail to scratch the trade, when survival is very near.
- The importance of survival cannot be overstated
- Market tuition fees must be paid so that it repeatedly drills the riskmanagement rules into the trader's head.
- The importance of market context was highlighted on Friday's trade when I am trying to trade Pharma stocks from the Short side.
- Often CNBC's hyping of certain stocks or sectors may give the intraday trader fade the sentiment extremes.
Friday, March 26, 2010
NSE Certified Market Professional Level 4
- NCMP Level 4 is awarded to candidates who have cleared 9 + Modules.
- I particularly liked its new addition IAPM module which has lot of relevance and market interpretation scope with an MBA ( Finance) equivalent course content in it.
- IAPM has been taught by me in various B-Schools with my major text being BKM,Nofsinger
- BlackSwan is launching a 3-month full time/weekend batch for intensive training in NCMP Level 4 Course.
- This course comes with a hostel accomodation, Placement tie ups with Brokerages, and Certicication assurance else fee refund options.
Friday, March 19, 2010
Importance of Trading Environment
1. As Intraday Trading needs intense concentration , the trader needs to avoid all distractions.
2. The trader needs to access his meditative flow state.
3. There needs to be no opinion sharing itch among fellow traders unless there is a clearly defined protocol. This reminds me of how Victor writes about Trading Operation.
4.Need for maintaining silence in the trading room.
5. I am willing to admit that these unnecessary mistakes cost me yesterday and I paid the market a huge tution fee.
Monday, March 15, 2010
Pursuit of ShortCuts
1.Pursuit of Shortcuts in the form of TIPS and sure-shot recommendations by investors surprise me .
2. How pursuit of money is put on top of market understanding and pursuit of knowledge
3.Market should give the participant energy rather than draining it
4. Having some framework or method in place of no method
I believe only when the market participants enjoy the journey they can go up the learning curve and increase their expertise.
Saturday, March 13, 2010
Grand Strategy in Trading
1. In my recent effort to build a Trading & Markets Monastry in Hyderabad , I had immense satisfaction in interacting with Beginning Traders and Students.
2. I had associated with RLP securities in this venture to offer trading facilities. My need for intraday flexibility and easy approachability of top management together with sppedy response fitted with RLP.
3 My basic approach of Risk Management,Viewing every Trade idea as a hypothesis, having a Grand Framework for Trading ( Mostly derived from Dr Brett), Identifying the particular traders' niche, I am trying to instill in my co-traders and speculators.
4 I am fortunate to find able friends like Mr VVM Reddy an IIT Chennai Grad and and an expert physics tutor for IITJEE. He is very enthusiastic about fundamental research and deep value investing. Another trading friend Mr Venkatgiri an engineer who is very keen on learning trading and analytics.
Friday, February 26, 2010
Intraday Trading - Best practices
1.Our office is at Flat 402, Srigurudatta Towers, Nizampet X Roads,Hyderabad -72
2.The motivation is derived from Dr Brett's articles on Trader Training,SMB Capital , Trading RM
3.Approaching the markets with a basic foundation on risk,trading psychology and structured way for continuous feedback.
Market Structure differences 2010 Vs 2020
Some of the changes I have observed in Market structure in 2020 compared to around 2010 Huge increase in trading Volumes Predominant ...
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Some of the changes I have observed in Market structure in 2020 compared to around 2010 Huge increase in trading Volumes Predominant ...
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BlackSwan is organising a seminar on Intraday Trading - Best Practices at Hyderabad. 1.Our office is at Flat 402, Srigurudatta Towers, Niza...